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Abu-Hijleh, S F (1991) A model for variance-based exception reporting with user-defined criteria, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Al-Bahar, J F (1988) Risk management in construction projects: A systematic analytical approach for contractors, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Al-Tubayyeb, S A (1989) Improving construction contract administration utilizing multiattribute statistical analysis on bid stage information, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Alarcon-Cardenas, L F (1992) Project performance modeling: A methodology for evaluating project execution strategies, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Alves, T d C L (2005) Buffering practices in HVAC ductwork supply chains, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Arroyo, P (2014) Exploring decision-making methods for sustainable design in commercial buildings, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Aviram Traubita, A (2009) Structural response and cost characterization of bridge construction using seismic performance enhancement strategies, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Bascoul, A M (2017) Managing project structural complexity by integrating facility management in planning, designing, and execution of high-end facility upgrades, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Benne, B C (2005) Managing AEC project organizations at the edge of chaos: An analysis of AEC projects' adaptive capacity from a living systems perspective, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Blampied, N B (2018) Parametric functions for conceptual and feasibility estimating in public highway project portfolios, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Boysen, J (1982) Aggregate project model for resource allocation within multiproject construction systems, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Bruni, M (1981) Business cycles and seasonality in the Italian construction sector, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Chen, C (2015) A proactive approach for change management and control on construction projects, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Cho, S K (2011) The relation between lean construction and performance in the Korean construction industry, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Choi, K (2008) A new decision-support model for innovative contracting strategies through a quantitative analysis on aspects of project performance, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Choo, H J (2003) Distributed planning and coordination to support lean construction, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Cuff, D C (1982) Negotiating architecture: a study of architects and clients in design practice, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Derrington, P A (1981) Controlling the quality of professional performance in architectural practice, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

El-Sersy, A H E (1992) An intelligent data model for schedule updating, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Elfving, J A (2003) Exploration of opportunities to reduce lead times for engineered-to-order products, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Elvin, G A (1998) A process model for integrated design and construction, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Feng, P P-Y (2009) Causes and effects of rework on the delivery of healthcare facilities in California, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Frandson, A (2019) Takt time planning as a work structuring method to improve construction work flow, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Galanis, P (2014) Probabilistic methods to identify seismically hazardous older-type concrete frame buildings, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Gil, N A P d A P (2001) Product-process development simulation to support specialty contractor involvement in early design, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Hamzeh, F R (2009) Improving construction workflow: The role of production planning and control, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Hitchcock, R J (1996) Improving life-cycle information management through documentation of project objectives and design rationale, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Huang, Y-L (1995) Project and policy analysis of build-operate-transfer infrastructure development, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Ibbs, C W J (1980) Risk, complex decision-making and the application of multiattribute utility analysis in the construction industry, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Jabbari, A (2020) Project planning algorithms: Lowering cost and improving delivery time in capital projects, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Jackson, R M (1981) A right to a job: A sociological history of carpentry and printing craft labor markets in the United States, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Kardon, J B (2003) The standard of care of structural engineers, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Kartman, S A (1995) Reengineering construction planning systems, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Kim, Y-W (2002) The implications of a new production paradigm for project cost control, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Kuprenas, J A (1988) Use of influence diagrams to assess the cost and schedule impact of construction changes, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Lee, E B (2000) Constructability and productivity analysis for long life pavement rehabilitation strategies (LLPRS), Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Lee, H W (2012) Application of target value design to energy efficiency investments, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Lee, S (2007) Understanding and quantifying the impact of changes on construction labor productivity: Integration of productivity factors and quantification methods, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Leino, J L (2008) Community and private sector approaches to development in Kenya, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Levinson, D M (1998) On whom the toll falls: A model of network financing, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Lin, M-C (2000) Contract design of private infrastructure concessions, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Liu, H (2013) Adaptive optimization methods in system-level bridge management, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Liu, M (2007) Work flow variability and labor productivity loss for construction projects, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Milberg, C T (2006) Application of tolerance management to civil systems, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Minato, T (1994) A methodology for project risk control: A work package-based approach using historical cost control data, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

  • Type: Thesis
  • Keywords: market; uncertainty; estimating; risk analysis; cost information; risk analysis
  • ISBN/ISSN:
  • URL: https://www.proquest.com/docview/304106286
  • Abstract:
    This research focuses on the issues of risk arising from multiple projects undertaken by a single company. Projects are dependent on a number of risk factors that interact in complex ways and that make the outcome of a project uncertain. In these cases, it may be possible for contractors to manage these risks by choosing corporate-level management strategies. By bearing these considerations in mind, this thesis develops a risk analysis methodology to serve as a support for managers analyzing a project's risks; responses can be for the specific project only or across many projects. The methodology in this thesis is built on the work breakdown structure (WBS) of a project, in which a project is defined as a portfolio of its component work packages. A single-index, linear model is then developed to estimate the uncertainty of a work package, which depends on the basic concept of the market model in financial portfolio theory. The key parameter of the developed model is beta, which is a regression coefficient relating the performance of a work package to the overall performance of completed projects. The beta estimates the co-variance among work packages, or a portion of project risk that arises from common risk factors to projects. Moreover, it is used to predict the change in profile of a project's uncertainty when risk-control is evaluated; estimating the value of controlling a risk is a principal contribution of this research. This methodology is uniquely formulated in that the risk is estimated only with the components in WBS and the associated cost information, instead of relying on external, explanatory variables. Such a model, built with rigorous statistical inference, provides a systematic and reliable approach for project risk analysis. In practice, it not only facilitates the knowledge acquisition process, but it also considerably reduces the cost of information. Thus, the application of this methodology will be of great valuable to both industry and the academic community.

Nguyen, H V (2010) Process-based cost modeling to support target value design, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Nguyen, L d (2007) The dynamics of float, logic, resource allocation, and delay timing in forensic schedule analysis and construction delay claims, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Pace, C B (1999) A factor-based three dimensional model of the process of new technology development in the construction engineering industry, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Parrish, K D (2009) Applying a set-based design approach to reinforcing steel design, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Peri, C A (2003) Impact of media on spatial communication: From paper to collaborative virtual environments, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Prozzi, J A (2001) Modeling pavement performance by combining field and experimental data, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Santero, N J (2009) Pavements and the environment: A life-cycle assessment approach, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Shirley, C L M (2000) Firm inventory behavior and the returns from infrastructure investment, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Songer, A D (1992) Toward an improved understanding of public sector design-build planning, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Staneff, S T (1997) A decision support system for infrastructure management, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Sun, X (2016) Proposed improvements to the MCAA method for quantifying construction loss of productivity, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Tien, I (2014) Bayesian network methods for modeling and reliability assessment of infrastructure systems, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Tsao, C C Y (2005) Use of work structuring to increase performance of project-based production systems, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Tuholski, S J (2008) Transformation, flow, and value constellations in AEC projects, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Vanichvatana, S (1993) Predicting consequential effects of construction project changes, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Vieira, P M d S (2007) Environmental assessment of office buildings, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Viljoen, P S (1981) Incentive management techniques for pavement rehabilitation construction, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Whelton, M G (2004) The development of purpose in the project definition phase of construction projects: Implications for project management, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Wong, J-M (2008) Extending performance-based design methods by applying structural engineering design patterns, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.